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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
AR12
13-2 91.72
107.64
 
VS
proj
Baker Mayfield
91.38 10-6
86

AR12 top Baker Mayfield for 10th straight win in 91.72-91.38 battle

AR12 extended their win streak to 10 games with a tight victory over Baker Mayfield, eking out a 91.72-91.38 win. Baker Mayfield made a run at it on Monday night, but it wasn't to be. AR12 led 91.72-90.38 after Sunday's action and held on for the win despite 1 points from the Denver Broncos defense on Monday night for Baker Mayfield. AR12 were led by Patrick Mahomes, who passed for 273 yards and 3 touchdowns and ran for 33 yards for 28.22 points, and Damien Williams, who racked up 140 yards from scrimmage and caught a touchdown pass (18 points). This marks the second time this season AR12 have knocked off Baker Mayfield, after winning 137.26-105.8 in their last matchup. AR12 finish the season with a record of 13-2, while Baker Mayfield end the campaign at 10-6.

Matchup Timeline

  AR12   Baker Mayfield

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

Williams scored 18 points in a 38-31 loss to the Seahawks to beat his 11.84-point projection. He racked up 140 yards from scrimmage and caught a touchdown pass to beat his projection by the highest percentage of any player on AR12 this week.
Damien Williams

Top Player Comparison

AR12
Points
% of total points 91.72
1
Patrick Mahomes
QB
28.22
22.03
30.8%
2
Damien Williams
RB
18
11.84
19.6%
3
Nick Chubb
RB
11.5
14.67
12.5%
4
Tyreek Hill
WR
9.1
12.31
9.9%
Baker Mayfield
Points
% of total points 91.38
1
Aaron Rodgers
QB
42.88
20.19
46.9%
2
Derrick Henry
RB
15.2
13.17
16.6%
3
Julian Edelman
WR
13
9.35
14.2%
4
Greg Zuerlein
K
7
10.97
7.7%

Matchup Highlights

Sunday Early
Aaron Rodgers had a 49-yard touchdown pass and a 42-yard pass for Baker Mayfield, while Julian Edelman had a 32-yard touchdown catch, contributing to a 83.38-28.40 lead for Baker Mayfield.
Sunday Night
Patrick Mahomes had a 25-yard touchdown pass for AR12 to contribute to a 91.72-90.38 lead for the team.

Points By Position

  AR12   Baker Mayfield
Standings Update
Is it just us or did the end of the season come out of nowhere? Time flies when you're having fun. Before we pivot to next year, we'd like to review this season one last time.
AR12
AR12 finished the regular season in first place after averaging 107.55 points per game, 2nd-best in the league.
Important Players
Patrick Mahomes
MVP
4816 Pass Yds, 48 Pass TDs, 271 Rush Yds, 2 Rush TDs
Tyreek Hill
Best Drafted
136 Rush Yds, 1378 Rec Yds, 11 Rec TDs
C.J. Anderson
Best Acquisition
271 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD
Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield ended the season with the league's 3rd-best points average (106.23 ppg), placing them 3rd in the standings at the end of the regular season.
Important Players
Todd Gurley II
MVP
1251 Rush Yds, 17 Rush TDs, 580 Rec Yds, 4 Rec TDs
Aaron Rodgers
Best Drafted
4416 Pass Yds, 25 Pass TDs, 269 Rush Yds, 2 Rush TDs
Derrick Henry
Best Acquisition
966 Rush Yds, 12 Rush TDs

What If

AR12 would not have beaten any other team in the league besides Baker Mayfield this week.
Baker Mayfield would have lost to six other teams besides AR12 this week.
AR12 would be 7-8 if they played Baker Mayfield every week.
AR12 would be 10-3 if they played the same schedule (excluding head-to-head matchups) as Baker Mayfield.
If they played the same schedule (excluding head-to-head matchups) as AR12, Baker Mayfield would be 9-4.
If AR12 had played every team in the league each week, they would be 110-51.
If they played every team every week, Baker Mayfield would be 111-57.